Today’s financial markets are increasingly competitive. Investors are always looking for ways to generate alpha—the measure of an investment’s performance relative to the market. One approach that has gained significant attention is the use of alternative data. However, this data – sourced from non-traditional avenues like social media sentiment, satellite imagery, or credit card transactions – is primarily the domain of institutional traders and hedge funds. For retail traders, access to such data remains limited due to its complexity, cost, and the technical expertise required to use it effectively.
What is Alpha?
Alpha represents the extra return an investment earns compared to a market benchmark, like the S&P 500. Achieving positive alpha demonstrates an ability to outperform the market. In contrast, negative alpha indicates underperformance. Alpha is particularly relevant to traders and investors who want to evaluate whether active strategies or specific investments deliver value over passive market tracking.
How Do Institutional Traders Use Alternative Data?
Institutional investors have embraced alternative data to gain a competitive edge in financial markets. Unlike traditional data sources – such as earnings reports or economic indicators – alternative data draws from unconventional sources. Many of these can offer real-time insights into trends before they become apparent to the broader market.
Here’s how institutional traders leverage this data:
- Satellite Imagery: Hedge funds and large institutional investors use satellite images to monitor specific business activities. For instance, they can assess foot traffic in retail store parking lots or track global oil inventory by observing oil tank levels. These unusual ways of gleaning information allow them to anticipate a company’s performance ahead of quarterly earnings announcements.
- Social Media Sentiment: They analyse platforms like Twitter, Reddit, and StockTwits for public sentiment surrounding stocks and companies. The GameStop saga, driven by discussions on Reddit, is a prime example of how social media can drive stock prices. Hedge funds use sophisticated tools to monitor these trends as they happen, allowing them to respond quickly to shifts in sentiment.
- Credit Card Data: Institutional investors can gain insights into consumer behaviour by analysing anonymised credit card transactions. They can track spending in specific sectors, such as retail or hospitality, giving them early indications of consumer spending trends.
- Web Scraping and Geolocation Data: This involves scraping web traffic or using smartphone geolocation data to track trends in the blink of an eye. They can analyse traffic to e-commerce sites or track how often certain stores are visited. This data can provide clues about company performance and customer engagement.
Why Retail Traders Are at a Disadvantage
Institutional investment firms have the tools and resources to make sense of alternative data. Retail traders face several significant challenges:
- Cost: The price of accessing high-quality alternative data can be prohibitive. Data sources like satellite imagery, transaction records, or high-end sentiment analysis are typically bundled into expensive packages that are well out of reach for most individual traders.
- Technological Expertise: Effectively analysing alternative data requires advanced machine learning models and big data analytics tools. Institutional traders and hedge funds employ teams of data scientists to process and interpret these large datasets. Retail traders, who usually lack access to these resources, cannot effectively integrate alternative data into their strategies.
- Integration Complexity: One of the biggest challenges is integrating alternative data with existing financial models. Unlike traditional data – which is structured and widely understood – alternative data is often messy, requiring significant cleaning and contextual interpretation before it becomes useful. Even for retail traders with access to data, it is difficult to turn it into actionable insights without specialised knowledge and advanced tools and technology.
Who Benefits from Alternative Data?
Given the complexities, institutional traders and hedge funds are the primary beneficiaries of alternative data. These entities can afford to invest in the infrastructure required to gather, analyse, and act on this data swiftly.
- Quantitative Hedge Funds: Quant funds, which rely on complex mathematical models, can incorporate alternative data into their strategies, spotting trends before they are reflected in stock prices. This gives them a first-mover advantage.
- High-frequency traders (HFTs): HFT firms use alternative data to react quickly to market movements. By analysing sentiment or satellite data in real-time, they can make rapid trades that capitalise on shifts in market conditions almost instantly.
- Large Institutional Investors: Hedge funds and asset managers can use alternative data to enhance long-term strategies by identifying underpriced assets or sectors poised for growth. For example, early insights from geolocation data or retail traffic could lead them to adjust their portfolios before the market catches on.
The Challenges and Risks
Despite its potential, alternative data isn’t foolproof. There are notable challenges:
- Data Quality: Not all alternative data is reliable. Some datasets may be incomplete or require significant effort to clean and interpret. If the data is inaccurate or misleading, it can lead to poor investment decisions.
- Ethical Concerns: Using personal data, such as geolocation or credit card transactions, raises privacy issues. Institutions using alternative data must navigate a complex regulatory landscape to ensure they are compliant with privacy laws.
- Overfitting and Overreliance: Just because a data source has been predictive in the past doesn’t mean it will continue to be so. There’s a risk of overfitting models to past data, which could lead to strategies that fail in rapidly changing market conditions.
Conclusion: A Tool for the Big Players
Alternative data represents a significant evolution in how institutional traders and hedge funds approach the markets. It offers the potential to gain insights that would be impossible using traditional data alone. However, the costs, complexity, and technical requirements mean that alternative data remains out of reach for most individuals. Attempting to compete in this space without the necessary resources could do more harm than good.
Simplified sentiment analysis or news sentiment aggregation tools are emerging for those looking to dip their toes into alternative data. However, these still only scratch the surface of what institutional players can achieve with alternative data.
Ultimately, Alternative data is best left to those with the infrastructure to make sense of.
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of any agency, organisation, employer, or company. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered professional or expert advice.